Issue page

O. Sorokin

Current problems of regions’ socio-economic developmental prospects provision

Keywords: socio-economic development of regions, polluted water, contamination pace, prognosis estimation, causal relationship, feedback, Delphi method, fashion, the median value, quartiles, event probability

The article is devoted to current problems of regions’ socio-economic developmental prospects provision. The aim of this study is pollution prognosis estimation of the river Volga within the boundaries of Cheboksary reservoir for the next 30 years to the level that makes it impossible to use the water for drinking, in conditions of maintaining existing nature protection measures and the rate of river pollution. Applying Delphi method for correction of the earlier forecast, this event probability was estimated. According to the results of research, in the absence of extra environmental protection measures and at preserving the existing scale of pollutants emission, the critical contamination level may be reached already in 2029. The given study provides timely warning of possible dangers and opportunities of taking measures to prevent them. Tools for studying causal mechanisms accelerating processes of environmental degradation in regions are offered in order to solve the problem posed.

References

  1. Bondarenko N.V., Morozova N.V. Protivorechiya ehkologicheskih i ehkonomicheskih interesov hozyajstvuyushchih sub”ektov [Contradictions environmental and economic interests of economic entities and social]. Prirodnye i social’nye ehkosistemy: materialy Vseros. nauch.-prakt. konf. s mezhdunar. uchastiem [Proc. of Rus. Sci. Conf. «Natural and social ecosystems»]. Cheboksary, Chuvash State University Publ., 2016, pp. 16–21.
  2. Statisticheskij ezhegodnik CHuvashskoj Respubliki. 2015 [Statistical Yearbook of the Republic of Chuvashi]. Cheboksary, 2015.
  3. Sorokin O.N. Graficheskaya formalizaciya i analiz povedeniya slozhnyh dinamicheskih sistem [Graphical formalization and analysis of the behavior of complex dynamic systems]. Aktual’nye problemy ehkonomicheskoj teorii i regional’noj ehkonomiki [Actual problems of economic theory and regional economy], 2014, no. 1(13), pp. 162–170.
  4. Sorokin O.N. Voprosy sovershenstvovaniya formalizovannogo opisaniya regional’noj ehkonomicheskoj sistemy i modelirovaniya ee dinamik [The improvement of the formalized description of the regional economic system and its dynamics simulation]. Povyshenie konkurentosposobnosti otraslej ehkonomiki kak napravlenie vyhoda iz ehkonomicheskogo krizisa: sb. materialov Mezhdunar. nauch.-prakt. konf. [Proc. of Int. Sci. Conf. «Improving the competitiveness of industries as the direction of the economic crisis»]. Cheboksary, Chuvash State University Publ., 2016, pp. 294–300.
  5. Sorokin O.N. Prognoznaya ocenka zagryazneniya akvatorii reki Volga [The forecast of pollution waters of the Volga River]. Perspektivy social’no-ehkonomicheskogo razvitiya sub”ektov nacional’noj ehkonomiki v usloviyah vstupleniya Rossii v VTO: materialy Vseros. nauch.-prakt. konf. [Proc. of Rus. Sci. Conf. «Prospects of socio-economic development of the national economy entities in the conditions of Russia’s accession to the WTO»]. Cheboksary, Chuvash State University Publ., 2007, pp. 247–250.

About authors

Sorokin Oleg
candidate in economics, regional economy and entrepreneurship department associate professor, Chuvash State University, Russia, Cheboksary (oleg_sorokinn@mail.ru; )

Article link

O. Sorokin Current problems of regions’ socio-economic developmental prospects provision [Electronic resource] // Oeconomia et Jus. – 2016. – №4. P. 9-15. – URL: http://oecomia-et-jus.ru/en/single/2016/4/2/.